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2024-12-14 08:26:14

Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!


In this regard, Jun Ge wants to remind everyone that there are many kinds of market funds, including the national team, main funds and ordinary retail investors. Among these three categories, they are also divided into several sub-categories. For example, the funds with the background of Chinese characters include Huijin, insurance, social security and pension. The main funds are more, which can be divided into public offering, private placement, hot money, trust, brokerage self-operated, foreign-funded institutions and so on; Even retail investors should be divided into large households and ordinary retail investors.It is precisely because of this that Jun Ge will analyze and point out in yesterday afternoon's article that three times of opening higher and walking lower are only similar in shape but not in spirit, so the trend in the next few days will naturally not fall sharply continuously.First, compared with any other funds, the national team is more familiar with the macro-adjustment strategy of the top level, and enters the market accurately before the Politburo meeting, mostly knowing that there will be great benefits at the meeting. Therefore, entering the venue last Friday can avoid chasing after the meeting, which has a greater cost advantage!


So yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower. Is it really big money that is smashing the market? This can actually be seen from yesterday's transaction data. In this morning's [A-share news], Brother Jun analyzed in detail the position adjustment actions of institutions and hot money seats yesterday. Although yesterday's institutional funds did have a moderate net outflow, the outflow of institutional funds was only due to the decrease in buying, not the release of selling.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.These days, Junge's review articles mainly focus on the market, and rarely mention the changes in the pattern of various parts of the market. This is because the recent hot spots in the main market are very clear, namely artificial intelligence and robots. In addition to these two main lines, there are several small hot spots that are difficult to become main lines around, that is, cultivating diamond and millet economy.

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